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The Middle East and North Africa

The conflicts and crises in the Middle East and North Africa are central themes in NUPI research on the region.

What roles do the emergent big powers play in these conflicts? How do great-power politics influence regional dynamics? These are central question that affect relations elsewhere around the globe, especially as regards energy issues. Developments in individual countries like Egypt, Syria and Iran are also followed closely by NUPI researchers, as are questions of the security situation in the area and how this is affected by actors and conflicts elsewhere in Africa.
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

The Big Man Muqtada al-Sadr: Leading the Street in Iraq under Limited Statehood

The article conceptualises the Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr as a big man to explain his proven capability for navigating the hazardous terrain of Iraqi politics. Introduced in Sahlins’ anthropology on Melanesia and refined in African studies, the notion of the big man has been underexploited in accounts of the Arab region. This article defends its relevance for sociopolitical analyses of Iraq and for the study of religious actors. Personal authority is the defining characteristic of a big man, and the mobilisation of followers is the key to his renown. In situations of limited statehood, the ability to build support upon extra-institutional foundations can yield longlasting political results. Muqtada al-Sadr has relied on an exceptional combination of resources to establish himself as a kingmaker on the political scene. We trace the roots of his ascent and foreground the strategies he has used to accumulate authority in his person. The article analyses Muqtada’s response to the wave of popular protests that swept Southern Iraq in 2019, observing a shift from initial support to open confrontation with the demonstrators. We argue that this shift threatens his status because it undermines his most important power resource: the ability to lead the street.

  • Regions
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Peace, crisis and conflict
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
Third-World-Thematics_large.jpg
  • Regions
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Peace, crisis and conflict
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
STATEISLAM-bilde_system_toppbilde.jpg
Research Project
2021 - 2025 (Ongoing)

Reactions to state regulation of Islam in times of Daesh (STATEISLAM)

In recent years, in response to the rise of ISIS, governments in the Middle East have begun to control the religious spheres in their countries more tightly. One example is the standardization of the ...

  • Security policy
  • Terrorism and extremism
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Nation-building
  • Nationalism
  • Insurgencies
  • Human rights
  • Governance
  • Comparative methods
  • Security policy
  • Terrorism and extremism
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Nation-building
  • Nationalism
  • Insurgencies
  • Human rights
  • Governance
  • Comparative methods
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Education as Activism in the Syrian Civil War

The Syrian Civil War has witnessed grassroots mobilization for education combined with agendas of political resistance. The article explains why education lends itself to activism in the face of extreme adversity.

  • Regions
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Peace, crisis and conflict
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
Education-as-activism-in-the-syrian-civil-war_large.png
  • Regions
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Peace, crisis and conflict
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Education Activism in the Syrian Civil War:Resisting by Persisting

This article analyzes education activists’ resilience in emergencies, building on life story interviews with Syrians who engaged in civil society initiatives for schooling in the aftermath of the 2011 uprising. It investigates the meaning that education acquires under extreme adversity and how it inspires individuals to act. Finding that these activists think of education as a means to resist authoritarianism and transform society, the article brings the change agendas of local education actors to the fore. It concludes that resilience can be the extension of political purpose. The article conceptualizes education as a vehicle of resistance, foregrounding how temporal projections enable individuals to maintain belief in their capability to enact changes. The activists make connections between their own experiences in school, thoughts about the future, and the reasons they mobilize for education. Working with time is a potent enabler when, objectively, the situation is deteriorating.

  • Regions
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Peace, crisis and conflict
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Insurgencies
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  • Regions
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Peace, crisis and conflict
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Insurgencies
Event
10:00 - 11:30
Salongen (ground floor)
Engelsk
Event
10:00 - 11:30
Salongen (ground floor)
Engelsk
23. Nov 2021
Event
10:00 - 11:30
Salongen (ground floor)
Engelsk

Humanitarian aid in Syria: The role of the UN and the great powers

What are the humanitarian needs of the Syrian people now? And how can the international community best help?

Putin som møter med den Saudi Arabiske prinsen i 2018
Forskningsprosjekt
2021 - 2024 (Ongoing)

Russian Repertoires of Power in the MENA region (RUSMENA)

The main objective of the RUSMENA project is to examine Russian power practices in the Middle East and Northern Africa (MENA) region between 2011 and 2021....

  • Security policy
  • Diplomacy
  • Foreign policy
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
  • Energy
  • Security policy
  • Diplomacy
  • Foreign policy
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
  • Energy
Publications
Publications

Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet Sahel

The Sahel region is highly exposed to climate change, but national and local factors mean that climate change will have differentiated impacts across the region. The region will gradually become hotter, with some areas experiencing increased, but erratic, rainfall. The immediate effects of these trends may include irregular seasons, droughts and floods. Interacting with social, economic and political factors, these could exacerbate existing vulnerabilities and increase the risk of violent conflict: • Changing rainfall and seasonal patterns can sometimes fuel and compound violent conflict over limited or unevenly distributed resources. Women and girls are especially vulnerable. Across the Sahel, climate change may increase the risk of clashes between herders and farmers over access water and pastures. • Rapid-onset disasters and long-term climate change may force people to temporarily or permanently move, sometimes joining people displaced by armed conflicts. Migration is an important adaptation strategy, but it can lead to conflict between host and migrant communities. • Disasters and climate change erode resilience, increasing the vulnerability of communities to predation by armed groups and manipulation by elites. Some armed groups recruit from communities whose livelihoods are affected by factors including climate change; and local militias can escalate farmer–herder conflicts.

  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • United Nations
  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • United Nations
Publications
Publications

Fiche technique sur le climat, la paix et la sécurité au Sahel

La région du Sahel est fortement exposée au changement climatique. Toutefois, en raison de facteurs relevant des contextes national et local, ce dernier ura des impacts différenciés dans la région. Les températures deviendront progressivement plus élevées dans la région et certaines zones connaîtront es niveaux de précipitations accrus, mais irréguliers. Dans l’immédiat, ces tendances pourraient se traduire par des saisons irrégulières, des périodes de écheresse et des inondations. L’interaction avec des facteurs d’ordre social, économique et politique pourrait exacerber les vulnérabilités existantes et accroître les risques de conflits violents: • Les changements dans les régimes pluviométriques et les tendances saisonnières peuvent parfois attiser et exacerber des conflits violents dont l’enjeu st l’accès à des ressources limitées ou inégalement réparties. Les femmes et les filles sont particulièrement vulnérables. Partout au Sahel, le changement climatique peut accentuer le risque d’affrontements entre éleveurs et agriculteurs autour de l’accès à l’eau et aux pâturages. • Les catastrophes d’apparition soudaine et le changement climatique à long terme peuvent forcer des populations à se déplacer de manière temporaire ou permanente et parfois à rejoindre des personnes déplacées par des conflits armés. La migration est une importante stratégie d’adaptation qui peut toutefois entraîner des conflits entre communautés d’accueil et communautés de migrants. • Les catastrophes et le changement climatique entraînent une érosion de la résilience, aggravant ainsi la vulnérabilité des communautés aux prédations de groupes armés et aux manipulations opérées par les élites. Certains groupes armés recrutent dans des communautés dont les moyens de subsistance sont affectés par des facteurs comme le changement climatique. Par ailleurs, les milices locales peuvent aggraver les conflits entre agriculteurs et éleveurs.

  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • International organizations
  • United Nations
  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • International organizations
  • United Nations
Articles
News
Articles
News

Climate, Peace and Security in the Sahel region

NUPI and SIPRI, under the Climate-related Peace and Security Risks project have worked on understanding the interlinkages between climate, peace and security in the Sahel-region.

  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • International organizations
  • United Nations
Articles
News
Articles
News

The link between climate, peace and security in Mali

NUPI and SIPRI, under the Climate-related Peace and Security Risks project have worked on understanding the interlinkages between climate, peace and security in Mali. Read more in a new fact sheet which contains recommendations on addressing climate change.

  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Climate
  • International organizations
  • United Nations
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