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The Middle East and North Africa

The conflicts and crises in the Middle East and North Africa are central themes in NUPI research on the region.

What roles do the emergent big powers play in these conflicts? How do great-power politics influence regional dynamics? These are central question that affect relations elsewhere around the globe, especially as regards energy issues. Developments in individual countries like Egypt, Syria and Iran are also followed closely by NUPI researchers, as are questions of the security situation in the area and how this is affected by actors and conflicts elsewhere in Africa.
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News
Articles
News

NUPI replaces NRK P2's 'Ekko' this week

NUPI has produced ten hours of high quality radio about foreign policy and international relations. The programs will air on NRK P2 during week 50, Monday to Friday from 9.00 to 11.00. Tune in!

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Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Governance, fragility and insurgency in the Sahel: a hybrid order in the making

Once a region that rarely featured in debates about global security, the Sahel has become increasingly topical as it confronts the international community with intertwined challenges related to climate variability, poverty, food insecurity, population displacement, transnational crime, contested statehood and jihadist insurgencies. This Special Issue discerns the contours of political orders in the making. After situating the Sahel region in time and space, we focus on the trajectory of regional security dynamics over the past decade, which are marked by two military coups in Mali (2012 and 2020). In addressing state fragility and societal resilience in the context of increasing external intervention and growing international rivalry, we seek to consider broader and deeper transformations that can be neither ignored nor patched up through the framework of the ‘war on terror’ projected onto ‘ungoverned spaces’. Focusing especially on the mobilisation of material and immaterial resources, we apply political economy lenses in combination with a historical sociological approach to shed light on how extra-legal governance plays a crucial role in the deformation, transformation and reformation of political orders.

  • Terrorism and extremism
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Fragile states
  • Insurgencies
  • Governance
  • Terrorism and extremism
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Fragile states
  • Insurgencies
  • Governance
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

“Irregular” Migration and Divergent Understandings of Security in the Sahel

On 23 September 2020, the EU launched its new Pact on Migration and Asylum. In a refreshingly blunt press-release accompanying the Pact one could read: “The current system no longer works. And for the past five years, the EU has not been able to fix it”. The stated aim of the Pact is a fairer sharing of responsibility and solidarity between member states while providing certainty for individual asylum applicants. This is intended to rebuild trust between EU members as well as improve the capacity to better manage migration. However, whether the Pact will be implemented and have an effect on EU external migration policy in the Sahel remains to be seen. Following the 2012 crisis in Mali and further spread of instability to neighbouring Niger and Burkina Faso, the central areas of the Sahel region have gained prominence as “producers” of transnational security threats, such as violent extremism, “irregular” migration and human trafficking. With Niger also being a major transit hub for northbound “irregular” migrants, this trend was further exacerbated by the so-called European refugee and migration crisis in 2015. This has led to unprecedented international attention in recent years, and consequently, a growing number of bilateral and multilateral donor assistance programmes and external military interventions. Since 2015, the number of refugees and asylum seekers coming from this area to Europe has been reduced. At first glance, this could mistakenly be understood as a success-story in migration management, or alternatively, that fewer people want to travel the dangerous route across the Mediterranean. However, the situation on the ground is going from bad to worse, despite increased levels of international resources invested to foster stabilisation and development in the region. Why? This IAI Commentary is based on the authors’ forthcoming journal article: “The Fragility Dilemma and Divergent Security Complexes in the Sahel”, in The International Spectator, Vol. 55, No. 4 (December 2020).

  • Security policy
  • Terrorism and extremism
  • Regional integration
  • Development policy
  • Foreign policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Insurgencies
  • Governance
  • The EU
  • Security policy
  • Terrorism and extremism
  • Regional integration
  • Development policy
  • Foreign policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Insurgencies
  • Governance
  • The EU
Publications
Publications
Chapter

Fixers and friends: local and international researchers

While we live in a highly unequal world where your position and place will determine what you have access to. However, based on years of fieldwork in the Sahel, this chapter turns this question around, exploring if it is possible to make inequaity work for mutual benefit. The answer is a modestly yes, and the chapter suggest if not a code of conduct, at least some personal principles of fieldwork that have come to guide my way of doing fieldwork, of making inequality work for mutual benefit.

  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
Publications
Publications
Report

The External Dimension of EU Migration Management: The Role of Aid

Aid is seen as a key EU instrument in addressing the root causes of migration, but it has not been decisive for the drastic reduction of irregular arrivals in Europe in recent years. Nevertheless, development assistance has become crucial leverage for the EU in persuading major transit countries to improve their border control. Although this “externalisation” of EU border management seems like a successful approach for now, it is not sustainable in the long term. The Union still needs to find better synergy between migration management and development policy that is not designed to stop migration but to manage and regulate it in a more mutually beneficial way.

  • Development policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Migration
  • The EU
  • Development policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Migration
  • The EU
Publications
Publications
Report

Can Aid Solve the Root Causes of Migration? A Framework for Future Research on the Development-Migration Nexus

An important dimension of the European Union’s response to the 2015 refugee and migration management crisis has been to address the root causes of irregular migration. A major tool the EU has to mitigate push factors of migration is development assistance. Yet, the literature shows that the casual relationship between aid and migration is complex and far from obvious. This article summarises the ongoing debates and major findings concerning the development-migration nexus in order to better inform policymakers about the potential risks and shortcomings of using aid in migration management. It suggests a framework for future research on what kind of assistance might work, for whom, and where.

  • Development policy
  • Europe
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • The EU
  • Development policy
  • Europe
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • The EU
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Irans moderne historie

Irans moderne historie er en høyaktuell bok om hvordan Iran, slik vi kjenner det i dag, har blitt til, utgitt førti år etter at 2500 år med persisk monarki ble erstattet av en islamsk republikk.

  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • The Middle East and North Africa
Articles
New research
Articles
New research

The PREVEX project officially launched in Brussels

Why are some communities more likely to experience violent extremism than others? 

  • Terrorism and extremism
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Conflict
  • Insurgencies
  • The EU
  • Comparative methods
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Introduction

The special issue discusses journalism and the challenge of democracy in transitional countries in Africa. We present in-depth treatments of the role of journalism in Zimbabwe and South Africa’s break with colonialism, Somalia’s breakdown after the fall of Siad Barré in the early 1990s and the recent uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt. Political transitions open a time window during which the media system is in flux and actors try to influence it per their interests. What role does journalism play in such processes, and how do they in turn affect journalists?

  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Governance
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Governance
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Attentatet i Bagdad kan virke mot sin hensikt

Det er forståelig at USA ønsket å ta ut Soleimani og Muhandis, to nøkkelpersoner i Irans transnasjonale nettverk av motstandsgrupper. Attentatet var imidlertid ikke nødvendigvis et strategisk riktig valg, og kan få en rekke utilsiktede konsekvenser.

  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
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