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The Middle East and North Africa

The conflicts and crises in the Middle East and North Africa are central themes in NUPI research on the region.

What roles do the emergent big powers play in these conflicts? How do great-power politics influence regional dynamics? These are central question that affect relations elsewhere around the globe, especially as regards energy issues. Developments in individual countries like Egypt, Syria and Iran are also followed closely by NUPI researchers, as are questions of the security situation in the area and how this is affected by actors and conflicts elsewhere in Africa.
Event
13:30 - 15:00
NUPI
Engelsk
160323-free,but manipulated.png
Event
13:30 - 15:00
NUPI
Engelsk
16. Mar 2023
Event
13:30 - 15:00
NUPI
Engelsk

Free, but manipulated? Journalism and politics in Tunisia’s fall from democracy

Tunisia was the only country that started developing as a democracy after the Arab Spring. Several important institutions were established to safeguard a democratic development, not least freedom of speech and free media. Today, however, the country is sliding towards authoritarianism. What happened, and what is the role of the media and journalism in Tunisia's withering democracy?

Johanna  Kettenbach
Researchers

Johanna Kettenbach

Research Fellow

Johanna Kettenbach is a PhD fellow in the Research Group on Peace, Conflict and Development. She is a PhD student in Sociology at the University o...

  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Nationalism
  • Human rights
  • Governance
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Nationalism
  • Human rights
  • Governance
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Islamist Social Movements and Hybrid Regime Types in the Muslim World

Since the Arab Uprisings in 2010–2011 and subsequent counterrevolutions, socio-economic and political crises have occurred with rapid frequency in the Arab Middle East, North Africa, and the Sahel. The aim of our special issue is to investigate how and why social movements that use references to Islam or an explicit Islamist framework have adapted their ideology and their toolbox in order to negotiate and navigate the social and political terrain created by the upheavals in the recent period? Using recent field data to enrich our knowledge of Islamist movements in countries where the Islamist phenomenon has been understudied, this collection provides a framework to understand the growing political volatility and hybridity in Islamist repertoires of contention. The authors of the volume each analyse cases of Islamist social movements shifting, or attempting to shift, from one repertoire to another – from transnational to national, from non-violent to violent or vice versa. The collection shows that social movements adapt in different ways and make use of resources available to them, at times moving far beyond their established ideology and traditional theological references.

  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
  • Insurgencies
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  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
  • Insurgencies
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Revisiting nuclear hedging: ballistic missiles and the Iranian example

Technological shifts have made nascent nuclear arsenals more vulnerable. In this article, Henrik Stålhane Hiim argues that this provides “nuclear hedgers” – states that deliberately seeking to develop the ability to go nuclear – with strong incentives to acquiring ballistic missiles. The article illustrates this tendency through a case-study of the Iranian missile and rocket programs. It finds that missile acquisition has indeed been an integral part of Iran's hedging strategy, and that several of the systems it has acquired indicate an interest in nuclear weapons delivery.

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
International Affairs_Hiim article.PNG
  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
Articles
News
Articles
News

RUSMENA round tables in Rome and Florence on 1 and 2 June 2022

The NUPI project 'Russian repertoires of power in the MENA region' (RUSMENA) organized a two-day roundtable in Italy.
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • The Middle East and North Africa
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Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: Iraq

Iraq is highly vulnerable to climate change and its impacts. The country’s vulnerability is shaped by its physical exposure, a strong natural resource dependency and low adaptive capacity due to violent conflict, poverty, political instability and corruption. Iraq is particularly exposed to floods, droughts and dust storms, increasingly linked to temperature and precipitation variability.
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Climate
Publications
Publications
Anne Funnemark, Elisabeth L. Rosvold, Cedric H. de Coning, Anab Ovidie Grand, Florian Krampe, Elizabeth Smith, Kheira Tarif

Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: Afghanistan

Afghanistan is highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change: rising temperatures, changing precipitation patterns and increasingly frequent extreme weather events. Currently, Afghanistan is experiencing its worst drought in 27 years, which, compounded with COVID-19 and the economic contraction that followed the takeover of the government by the Taliban in August 2021, has significantly increased livelihood and food insecurity and contributed to a growing humanitarian emergency.  Climate change exacerbates the deteriorating conditions for agriculture-based livelihoods and food insecurity.  Conflict and the effects of climate change have increased internal displacement and changed migration patterns. High levels of displacement accentuate food and livelihood insecurity and increase the vulnerability of marginalised groups, including women.  The effects of climate change may heighten the risk of more frequent and intense local conflicts over land and water and increase tensions over transboundary resources.  Conflict has eroded the resilience of communities and local authorities to adapt to climate change and to deal with the current humanitarian crisis. This creates opportunities for elites to manipulate and profit from land and water disputes, with elevated risks for marginalised groups.

  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Climate
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  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Climate
Publications
Publications

Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: Afghanistan

Afghanistan is highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change: rising temperatures, changing precipitation patterns and increasingly frequent extreme weather events. Currently, Afghanistan is experiencing its worst drought in 27 years, which, compounded with COVID-19 and the economic contraction that followed the takeover of the government by the Taliban in August 2021, has significantly increased livelihood and food insecurity and contributed to a growing humanitarian emergency.  Climate change exacerbates the deteriorating conditions for agriculture-based livelihoods and food insecurity.  Conflict and the effects of climate change have increased internal displacement and changed migration patterns. High levels of displacement accentuate food and livelihood insecurity and increase the vulnerability of marginalised groups, including women.  The effects of climate change may heighten the risk of more frequent and intense local conflicts over land and water and increase tensions over transboundary resources.  Conflict has eroded the resilience of communities and local authorities to adapt to climate change and to deal with the current humanitarian crisis. This creates opportunities for elites to manipulate and profit from land and water disputes, with elevated risks for marginalised groups.

  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Climate
Screenshot 2022-05-31 at 10.50.44.png
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Climate
Publications
Publications

Making Sense of the European Side of the Transatlantic Security Relations in Africa

This article aims to investigate the character of transatlantic security relations in Africa: How can it be characterized? Have they become weaker or stronger over the past decade? How can this development be explained? As NATO has not yet been heavily engaged on the African continent, it is prudent to study the relations between the EU and the US. Africa has been of concern to the EU (and its member states) for decades due to its geographical closeness and historic bonds. Since 2001, for both Europe and the US, Africa has become a region of increasing security concern due to the threat of international terrorism—for Europe, we can also add the migration concern. The European side of this relationship has also been largely dominated by France, making the transatlantic security cooperation in Africa essentially about French-American relations. As France has taken the lead regarding Europe’s security and defense engagement in Africa, increasingly with the support of other EU member states and associated non-members, this bilateral relationship is more than simply cooperation between two states. By applying a framework that understands EU security and defense policy as a process increasingly characterized as a differentiated and flexible integration under French leadership, the development of the Franco-US security relations in Africa must be understood as an expression of the transatlantic security relations in this region.

  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • The EU
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  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • The EU
Ståle  Ulriksen
Researchers

Ståle Ulriksen

Researcher

Ståle Ulriksen is a researcher at the Norwegian Naval College, part of the Norwegian Defence University, with a 20 percent position at NUPI, in Th...

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Terrorism and extremism
  • NATO
  • Regional integration
  • Diplomacy
  • Foreign policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • North America
  • The Arctic
  • The Nordic countries
  • Conflict
  • Nation-building
  • Insurgencies
  • Oceans
  • The EU
  • Comparative methods
  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Terrorism and extremism
  • NATO
  • Regional integration
  • Diplomacy
  • Foreign policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • North America
  • The Arctic
  • The Nordic countries
  • Conflict
  • Nation-building
  • Insurgencies
  • Oceans
  • The EU
  • Comparative methods
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