NUPIpodden#5: Putin for alltid?
18. mars går russerne til valglokalene for å stemme i det som kan omtales som et svært lite spennende valg om ny president. Vladimir Putin er alle...
NUPIpodden #7: Vennskapene som beveger verden
Gomlende på hver sin pølse i brød så de ut som to bestevenner på basketkamp, USAs daværende president Barack Obama og Storbritannias daværende sta...
NUPIpodden #8: FN – Bare store ord, eller verdens viktigste fredsskaper?
«En diplomatenes lekegrind». «Et byråkratisk mareritt». FN får med jevne mellomrom kritikk for å være handlingslammet. Men ifølge NUPI-forsker Kar...
NUPIpodden #11: Hva er greia med internasjonale organisasjoner?
Hvorfor blir internasjonale organisasjoner mindre viktige – og har det noe å si? Hvem er det egentlig som bestemmer hva organisasjonene skal bruke...
NUPIpodden #12: Kan du forvente hjelp fra Norge hvis du kommer i trøbbel i utlandet?
Skal vi hente hjem fremmedkrigere som har reist til Syria for å slutte seg til IS? Brukte norske myndigheter for mye penger på å få hjem to drapsd...
NUPIpoddden #15: Hvilken liberal orden?
Vi hører stadig at den internasjonale liberale orden er i krise. På den ene siden er den utsatt for press utenfra, fra stater som Russland og Kina...
NUPI-podden #17: Hva har Norge å gjøre i FNs sikkerhetsråd?
17. juni faller dommen. Får Norge en av de 10 midlertidige plassene i sikkerhetsrådet? Hvorfor er det så viktig for oss? Er det verdt alle million...
Emigrant external voting in Central-Eastern Europe after EU enlargement
The European Union's Eastern Enlargement of 2004–2007 triggered a large wave of migration. While the influence of Central-Eastern European (CEE) migrants on Western European politics has been studied, the impact of outward migration and political remittances “sent” by expatriates remain unexplored, despite the salience of democratic backsliding and populist politics in the region. We ask how external voting among migrants differs from electoral results in homelands over time, drawing on an original dataset gathering voting results among migrants from six CEE countries in fifteen Western European host countries. Using models estimated with Bayesian ordinary least squares regression, we test three hypotheses: two related to the disparity of diaspora votes from homeland party systems over time; and one to the ideological leanings of diasporas. We observe a growing discrepancy and note that diaspora votes follow the ideological fluctuations in the country of origin but distort it, with CEE migrants voting for more liberal and more economically right-wing parties than voters ‘at home’.
Norway’s Climate Policy: Don’t Think of the Elephant!
All Norwegian governments in the twenty-first century, left and right, have made climate action an important element of their diplomacy and domestic policy, while recently some political parties have even made climate neutrality and decarbonisation the core of their electoral campaign messages. Norway has played the role of an advocate for international climate action, for instance of rainforest protection. Moreover, government incentives such as tax levies have been instrumental in the spectacular expansion of electric vehicles. However, despite the self-promoted image of a climate policy champion abroad, Norway’s efforts to cut domestic greenhouse gas emissions have been modest since signing the Kyoto Protocol in December 1997. Norway is exporting oil and gas that cause massive emissions, but the significance of the fossil fuel sector for the country makes it difficult to find alternatives and seriously consider rapid phase out. That said, a debate on the future of the oil and gas sector is ongoing. Whilst Norway’s point of departure in an imminent transition is rather favourable, the lack of progress is due to insufficient political leadership and vision. Norwegian decision makers need to be bold in their choice of whether the transition’s main goal should be managing decline in the oil and gas sector or managing climate-related economic risks. Meanwhile, in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the EU’s decision for a drastic reduction in dependence on Russian fossil fuels, the lifetime of Norway’s oil and gas production could well be extended by a decade or more. It is not unreasonable to expect that the last molecule of fossil methane burned in Europe before it switches to hydrogen and biogas—is going to come from Norway.