Research on radicalisation and countering radicalisation: Taking stock and ways forward
The Consortium for Terrorism Research invites you to a seminar about research on radicalisation and countering radicalization, with Joel Busher and Sarah Marsden.
The Arctic Barometer: Measuring Expert Predictions on the Arctic Region
Making predictions in a highly uncertain environment is always a hazardous enterprise. Confronted with global warming, the future of the Arctic region has been often debated, both in terms of the scope and the speed of expected changes, including the future of resource development, the opening of shipping routes, and the evolution of multilateral fora. These predictions have come from different sources: governments through different policy papers and statements, the media, civil society, and academics, to name but a few. It can be difficult to account for this vast and diverse array of predictions, considering that each actor has interests to promote. We decided to develop a survey asking different actors to make predictions about possible Arctic geopolitical developments. Instead of letting individuals make their own predictions on the topic of their choice, we selected plausible scenarios and prompted respondents to evaluate if these developments were likely or unlikely to happen. Scenarios were developed to be both visible and concrete: we can evaluate if the scenario unfolded or not during a certain time period. For example, we can observe if Russia violated the airspace of another Arctic state, if Greenland reached state sovereignty, or if the U.S. deployed a freedom of navigation operations in the Arctic region. In total, our scenarios covered two dimensions: governance and security. On governance, potential developments around diplomatic initiatives or multilateral cooperation were tested. On security, the possibility of military conflict in the region or of military intrusions were considered. Two main objectives justified this approach. First, we wanted to evaluate if experts were correct in their predictions. Related to this, we were curious to know which type of issues caused incorrect assessments. Second, we repeated the same scenarios in multiple waves: the objective was to analyze if specific geopolitical developments occurring between waves would change predictions, moving the needle on experts’ predictions
Norway’s handling of knowledge relations with states outside its security cooperation
Norwegian authorities have for several years actively promoted internationalization of the knowledge sector. This includes collaboration with authoritarian countries such as China and Russia, which are not part of Norway’s security cooperation. However, in the last few years, we have seen a clear turn towards questions of national security and the status of liberal norms garnering more attention, also with consideration to knowledge relations. We observe this in sharper warnings from the security services, revised legislation and regulations and new guidelines for knowledge collaboration with countries such as China and Russia. In this article we study these changes and discuss their possible implications. Empirically, we build on survey and interview data, and we examine policy documents and media reports on relevant incidents. In terms of theory, we draw on explanations grounded in the geopolitics and securitization literature. We argue that measures that are introduced to protect national security and liberal norms may also limit the operational space for independent research and thus change the parameters for academic freedom, especially in relation to activities with connection to actors from non-allied states. To avoid unnecessarily restrictive conditions, researchers and their institutions should actively demonstrate and communicate how they work to ensure responsibility in their knowledge relations. This is especially important in situations where ethical and security-related challenges are obvious.
Poland and Norway in a changing geopolitical landscape
Which security-related challenges, risks and threats do Poland and Norway face in their strategic environment in the aftermath of the Russian invasion of Ukraine? And what impact has the Russian invasion of Ukraine had on perceptions of security in the two countries?
Nordic countries and knowledge collaboration with authoritarian non-allied states: conditional openness with stronger demands for protection
The conditions surrounding international knowledge production and collaboration are changing. What has long remained a field characterized by overtly liberal and open practices is now subject to more scrutiny with regards to protecting national security and academic freedom. Developments concerning China especially, but also Russia, and other authoritarian states with knowledge-related ambitions have alerted authorities in many liberal, democratic states. This is the case in the Nordic region, too. In this focus edition, we study why and how stricter conditions for international knowledge collaboration are emerging in Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Finland. We are especially interested in problematizing and explaining what happens when stronger security concerns and calls for protection meet liberal norms, including academic freedom.
Verden vil til Arktis – hva vil vi?
Denne rapporten er et sammendrag av Utenriksdepartementets Respons-konferanse som ble avholdt i samarbeid med UiT den 13. mai 2024. Konferansen startet med åpningsinnlegg fra UiT-rektor Dag Rune Olsen og Tromsøs ordfører Gunnar Wilhelmsen, samt en tale fra Utenriksminister Espen Barth Eide. Etter dette fulgte tre bolker med talere som ga ulike analyser av og innspill til norsk utenrikspolitikk. I del 1 – Arktis møter verden – deltok Camilla Brekke, Stian Bones, Morten Høglund, Gunn-Britt Retter, Luna Drecker, Gøril Johansen og Odd Emil Ingebrigtsen. I del 2 – Russland i ny arktisk sikkerhetspolitisk kontekst – innledet statssekretær Eivind Vad Petersson fra Utenriksdepartementet. Deretter bidro Kari Aga Myklebost, Arild Moe, Julie Wilhelmsen, Hans-Jacob Bønå og Terje Aunevik med analyser. Siste bolk – Samarbeid i nord – militært og sivilt – ble åpnet med innlegg fra statssekretær i kommunal- og distriktsdepartementet Sigrun Wiggen Prestbakmo og Sjef Hæren, Generalmajor Lars S. Lervik. Deretter deltok Carina Sammeli, Dan Koivulaasko, Gunnhild Hoogensen Gjørv, Nils-Ole Foshaug, Njord Wegge og Petter Bjørkli i debatt, før Utenriksministeren avrundet seminaret med å svare på spørsmål fra publikum. Moderator for dagen var Jan-Gunnar Winther. Resten av denne rapporten er en sammenstilling av de viktigste budskapene som ble fremført i seminarets ulike bolker.
Anni Roth Hjermann
Anni Roth Hjermann is a PhD fellow at the University of Cambridge, where she is working on a monograph provisionally entitled The global politics...
China and Evolving Multilateral Craftmanship in the Age of Digitalization (CHIMULTI)
Which international organizations develop responsibilities for digital technology (digitech) governance and how do major powers work to craft influence in these organizations? This is the overarching ...
Utenrikspolitikk for et konkurransedyktig norsk næringsliv
Dette notatet er et sammendrag av RESPONS-prosjektets konferanse i Stavanger den 20. mars 2024. Vertskapet var Universitetet i Stavanger (UiS), i samarbeid med Næringsforeningen i Stavangerregionen, NHO Rogaland, Innovasjon Norge, Offshore Northern Seas (ONS), Norsk Utenrikspolitisk Institutt (NUPI) og Utenriksdepartementet.