Researcher
Jakub M. Godzimirski
Contactinfo and files
Summary
Jakub M. Godzimirski has been working on Russian foreign and security policy issues at NUPI for more than 20 years, paying special attention to the role of energy resources in Russian grand strategy. In addition he also has worked on European policy and its impact on developments in Central and Eastern Europe, including relations with Russia.
Expertise
Education
1987 Ph.D. Polish Academy of Science and Letters
1981 MA social antropology at Warsaw University
Work Experience
1995- Senior research fellow at NUPI
1993-1994 Senior analyst at The Ministry of Defence, Poland
1981-1987 Research fellow at the Institute of Arts, The Polish Academy of Science and Letters
Aktivitet
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How the war in Ukraine has changed the security situation in the Black Sea and the High North
How has the Russian aggression against Ukraine launched in February 2022 changed perceptions of security in the Black Sea region and in the High North?
RUSMENA round tables in Rome and Florence on 1 and 2 June 2022
Russia and energy crisis in Europe
This lecture was to shed ligh on the perception of Russia's role in the ongoing energy crisis in Europe. The lecture was divided into four parts. In the first Russia role as energy actor was discussed. In the second part details were provided on the ongoing energy crisis in Europe with high gas and electrrity prices, while the third part presented assumptions and data on Russia's role in the crisis. Finaly, part four contained discussion on the role of energy in Russian strategy.
Norway and Great Power Politics – Geopolitics, Technology and Climate (NISP)
Our times are shaped by developments in geopolitical power dynamics, fast-paced technological development and climate change. In this research program NUPI analyses how these developments change the s...
Kan Norge oppleve et cyberangrep i dag?
This oped discusses the risk of a cyber attack on Norwegian energy infrastructure after the introduction of sanctions against Russia in connection with Russia's war against Ukraine.
Dette kan være en dyrekjøpt seier eller slutten på Putins regime
This brief article sums up the first two months of the Russian military operation in Ukraine by looking at Russian original objectives and the situation on the ground by the end of April 2022.
PODCAST: Can Europe get out of Russian gas?
WEBINAR: Renewed Threats from the High North to the Black Sea. Main FLANKS Conclusions and Findings
On Thursday, May 5th 2022, New Strategy Center, in partnership with the Norwegian Institute for International Affairs (NUPI), will organize the online conference ”Renewed Threats from the High North to the Black Sea. Main FLANKS Conclusions and Findings”.
Energy, Climate Change and Security: The Russian Strategic Conundrum
Global and regional energy markets are increasingly influenced by policies aimed at climate change mitigation, with possible grave implications for major producers and exporters of fossil fuels – including Russia, which is planning further increases. This article examines the evolution of Russian official thinking on the role of climate change as a strategic factor in policymaking as expressed in key documents on security and in strategic statements made by Presidents Putin and Medvedev (2000–2020). The set of strategic statements examined in this article show surprisingly little attention to this important matter.
Norwegian Gas in Europe in the 2020’s
This article examines the factors that will influence the position of the Norwegian gas on the market in the 2020’s. Starting with an examination of the historical role of Norway as a gas supplier to the EU, this article maps the role of various factors in shaping framework conditions on the European gas market that can influence the position of the Norwegian gas as an energy source. The main conclusion is that Norway will remain an important supplier of gas until 2030 but may face some serious problems to remain relevant after this date due to possible depletion of gas deposits and increased EU focus on the negative impact of fossil fuels on climate change, the development of a more sustainable energy mix in Europe as well as the emergence of new gas suppliers to Europe, first and foremost LNG that could take higher share of the shrinking gas market in Europe. Development of the cost-effective large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology could alleviate some energy transition related pains and make gas more acceptable as a source of energy, also if the development of hydrogen economy were to materialise. The Norwegian gas could be turned into an important input in green hydrogen, a new promising energy source combining the best of the two energy worlds—the fossil one and the green one.