Recent developments in the High North and the relevance of the Cooperative Security Initiative
Distrustful relations between neighbors in the High North is a multi-actor game – on all sides – no willingness to meet, listen and compromise will play into the hands of those who want confrontation – on all sides – validating the claim that ‘they are out to get us’ – pushing the spiral of distrust and conflict further up. Conversely, willingness to meet, listen and compromise will play into the hands of those who want cooperation – on all sides. It will be the first steps out of the current spiral leading to potential confrontation on our continent.
Kommer Russerne?
What would a potential conflict with Russia look like? How can we prevent and avoid a new conflict with Russia? Interview with Julie Wilhelmsen and Tormod Heier at launch event for the magazine Samtiden in March 2020.
Make or buy: offshoring of services functions in manufacturing
About 40% of employment in manufacturing is in services functions. This paper develops a measure of narrow outsourcing: the matching of services functions that are performed by workers who are inside manufacturing firms to the same services functions that are provided by outside suppliers. Narrow outsourcing is entered into labour demand functions where labour is classified by business functions. The impact of narrow offshoring on manufacturing labour demand is small on average but depends strongly on the complexity of the value chain, the policy environment, and ICT maturity. The IT and R&D functions are most sensitive to offshoring.
The Geopolitics of Fish in the Arctic
Climate change and declining sea-ice in the Central Arctic Ocean (CAO) has brought concerns that fish stocks may expand into the high Arctic. While the sub-Arctic seas of the North Pacific and the North Atlantic have abundant fish resources subject to major commercial fisheries for generations, the CAO has little or none. Concerns that fish stocks could expand into the CAO provided the impetus for negotiating the 2018 Agreement to Prevent Unregulated Fishing in the Central Arctic Ocean. This policy brief discusses efforts to address challenges associated with climate change and fish in the Arctic, and makes recommendations for policy action.
Jihadist Governance in the Sahel (JIGOV-Sahel)
This project is about jihadist insurgent governance in West Africa's Sahel region....
Democracy and Human Rights in Contemporary Latin America (2015-2020): Trends, challenges, and prospects
Through a review of scholarly and other well-informed articles as well as media reports, this CMI Report aims to summarize discussions on challenges for democracy and human rights in Latin America during the last half-decade. The region faces a highly difficult economic outlook, consisting of low commodity prices and stagnant growth, threatening a historic backlash in the access to basic goods (including food) and services (not least health). The coronavirus pandemic may have a completely devastating effect on Latin American societies. After the end of the “pink tide”, the survey registers a regional democratic decline, breakdown of democratic systems in some countries and more widespread concerns of democratic erosion; electoral success for anti-incumbent candidates but also a rise of youth protest and fundamental political reform claims. While the human rights agenda has expanded tremendously, a current trend is that fundamental political rights may be endangered. There are serious threats to security and the right to life, and an increasing authoritarian trend (most visible in Venezuela, Nicaragua, Brazil, and El Salvador). Cuba, here treated as a special case, finds itself at a critical juncture, right before the definitive end of the Castro era, leaving the fundamental challenge for younger generations to prepare for a soft landing or risking a full regime collapse. Geopolitical rivalry between the US, China, and Russia leaves a particular responsibility to Europe to facilitate conflict resolution and peacemaking as well as resolution.
Krigen skjer på nettet
The war is online:Influencing campaigns, fake news, hackers, magic tricks, hybrid attacks and destabilization: Who's behind it, how big is the threat and does anyone know how to protect ourselves? Lytring invites a debate on the digital gray zone between war and peace. We ask how much Russia and China contribute to the fire that is now burning in the United States, and is it true that they are also trying to ignite a spark in Northern Norway? In the panel: Øystein Bogen, Russia's longtime correspondent for TV2 and author of the book "Russia's secret war on the West" Julie Wilhelmsen, Senior Researcher at the Norwegian Foreign Policy Institute (NUPI) Geir Hågen Karlsen, Colonel Lieutenant at the Norwegian Defense College Ørjan Karlsson, Head of Department in the Directorate for Social Security and Contingency Odd-Jarl Borch, professor at Northern University Debate leader: Anki Gerhardsen
NUPI’s Russia Conference 2020: Great Powers and Arctic Politics
Please join us at NUPI’s Russia Conference on 10 September – this year in an online format!
‘We need to reflect on what “freedom” means to us’
What does freedom mean? In her new book, NUPI Senior Research Fellow Rita Augestad Knudsen examines the use of this concept within international politics.