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Net-zero or phase out? Stakeholder views on just transitions pathways for oil and gas in Norway

In this policy brief, authors David Jordhus-Lier, Camilla Houeland, Heikki Eidsvoll Holmås, Kacper Szulecki, Peder Ressem Østring and Kendra Dupuy document how policy makers and representatives of businesses and civil society organisations (including trade unions and environmental groups) have outlined pathway scenarios towards net-zero carbon emissions and a phase-out vision for the Norwegian oil and gas industry. The authors have developed these two scenarios participating in a focus group based on a so-called ‘backcasting’ exercise. There is perceived acceptance for the notion of net-zero emissions by 2050 from social actors involved in the Norwegian oil and gas industry. If this goal is to be reached with a science-based approach, however, deep-seated transformations in the global energy system will be needed, as well as concerted efforts by the Norwegian government and from other social actors. Specific targets for the electrification of offshore installations, the roll-out of large-scale offshore wind power and technologies for capturing, using and storing carbon on the Norwegian Continental Shelf are key milestones in this scenario. The main actors required to take responsibility for this pathway are the Norwegian state, in close tripartite dialogue with labour and capital, but also with institutional mechanisms that ensure the participation of local communities and civil society organisations. The net-zero pathway faces a series of obstacles. Among them are popular resistance to new renewable energy projects, increasing electricity prices and the risk this poses to plans for the electrification of offshore installations.

  • Europe
  • The Nordic countries
  • Climate
  • Energy
Netzero or phaseout.PNG
  • Europe
  • The Nordic countries
  • Climate
  • Energy
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Utfordrende kunnskapssamarbeid: Etiske og sikkerhetsrelaterte utfordringer som forskere og kunnskapsinstitusjoner i Norge møter i internasjonale sa...

This report presents results from a study of ethical- and security-related challenges that researchers and research institutions in Norway face and handle in their international collaborations. The report is in Norwegian only.

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Publications
Publications
Op-ed

Verdens rikeste mann har geopolitiske ambisjoner. Derfor bekymrer Twitter-kjøpet.

Elon Musk's involvement in the Ukraine war and take-over of Twitter raise a number of questions and dilemmas (in Norwegian).

  • Security policy
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
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  • Security policy
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
Publications
Publications
Report

When great powers behave. Mediation lessons from the Cambodia peace process.

This paper examines conflict resolution issues in Cambodia through the lens of mediation as it is practiced today, even as we benefit from the hindsight of a world three decades after the signing of the peace agreement that comprehensively ended the conflict. Extracting lessons from that time, it attempts to illustrate how insights from the end of the Cold War can be edifying as we embark on a dangerous path towards another era.

  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Nation-building
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  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Nation-building
Publications
Publications
Report

The challenge of IUU fishing in West Africa and The PotentialTechnology Solutions: An analysis of international cooperationprojects in Ghana and Gu...

Illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing is a social, economic and environmental problem. It undermines management and drives the depletion of fish stocks, threatens food security, and drains valuable resources from the economy. In recent decades, efforts have been made to build an international regime that can curb IUU fishing. However, implementing this regime and stemming the tides of IUU fishing remains challenging. At the center of this challenge is the necessity to create capacity in states for the monitoring, control, and surveillance (MCS) of fisheries. Monitoring fisheries means measuring fishing effort characteristics and resource yields continuously. The control of fisheries concerns the establishment of regulations for exploiting resources. Surveillance refers to the measures to secure compliance with regulatory controls.

  • International investments
  • Africa
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  • International investments
  • Africa
Publications
Publications
Anne Funnemark, Asha Ali, Cedric H. de Coning, Elisabeth L. Rosvold, Florian Krampe, Kheira Tarif, Katongo Seyuba, Farah Hegazi, Caroline Delgado

Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: Colombia

In this new Fact Sheet from the joint NUPI and SIPRI’s joint Climate-related Peace and Security Risks Project (CPSR) team explore the nexus between climate change, peace and security.

  • South and Central America
  • Peace operations
  • Climate
  • United Nations
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  • South and Central America
  • Peace operations
  • Climate
  • United Nations
Publications
Publications
Report

The China-Europe Freight Train and the War in Ukraine:Triumph and Tribulations in Transcontinental Shipping

In this policy brief, Professor Xiangming Chen analyzes the China-Europe Freight Train (CEFT), the flagship Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) project, and evaluates its extensiveness, efficiency and adaptability based on recent geopolitical developments, in particular the War in Ukraine.

  • Trade
  • Asia
The China Europe Freight train policy brief.PNG
  • Trade
  • Asia
Publications
Publications
Chapter

Does security push democracy out of energy governance?

  • Security policy
  • Energy
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  • Security policy
  • Energy
Publications
Publications
Op-ed

The War in Ukraine is All About Democracy vs Dictatorship

A dictatorship has just brutally attacked its democratic neighbor. It’s not the first time in history that happens, but there are good reasons to see the war in Ukraine as the first one defining the conflict lines of this century.

  • Europe
  • The Nordic countries
  • The EU
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  • Europe
  • The Nordic countries
  • The EU
Publications
Publications
Op-ed

Poland's belated energy transition: now or never

The Polish authorities were for years playing down the need for decarbonization, seeing it as a threat to domestic energy security. Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, suddenly it is not climate but precisely security that may accelerate the phase out of fossil fuels.

  • Europe
  • Energy
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  • Europe
  • Energy
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