Publications by NUPI
NATO towards Warsaw - significance for Norway and the Nordic
The theme for two of the seminars will be linked to the process in the alliance towards the summit in Warszawa July 2016, while one seminar will focus on the Nordic security dimension, with emphasis on Sweden, Finland and their relations to NATO. This will be planned and arranged in cooperation with NATO’s public Diplomacy Division, Forsvarshögskulan in Stockholm, Centre for military Studies at the University in Copenhagen, Centre for War Studies at Southern Denmark University and the University at Tampere in Finland.
The need for an increased official understanding of a debate about Norway’s security- and defense political framework conditions are obvious. The framework condition seems to be rapidly changing as a result of Russia’s acts of war in Ukraine and increased security policy in tension in general.
This challenges NATO, EU and the West in multiple aspects. Even thou NATO approved important changes at the Wales summit last year, we can ask ourselves: are these changes sufficient – and necessarily the right actions? Are there being done enough with the relation between for example EU and NATO, when it comes to the nonmilitary- or hybrid and grey side of the conflict specter? Meanwhile goes the debates rapidly in Sweden and Finland, about how to maintain their own security in today’s society, and the extent to which NATO is a part of that solution.
For Norway, the Nordic security will be important, while different approach to NATO will put clear limitations on the security- and defense political partnership in the Nordic. However, Sweden’s and Finland’s choices of direction in the years ahead will give direct consequences for Norwegian security- and defense policy. This is a demanding discussion in many ways, which will continue in many years forward.
Meanwhile is a nationally process ongoing with the Ministry of Defense’s long-term rapport, the newly assigned professional military contributions. The next big milestone in the transatlantic security- and defense policy is the NATO summit in Warszawa in July 2016. For Norway to adapt to the ongoing security policy development, it will require knowledge, an enlighten opinion and a good national debate climate. It is important to put these themes in a more systematic and proactive agenda. The media angles are also often unanalyzed and shows signs of limited knowledge. The main questions for these studies are:
- Is NATO’s ongoing process (as approved in Wales) sufficient to secure a function able collective defense in case of emergencies and conflicts?
- How can the Warszawa summit contribute to continue deter, and keep security political frames, also against nonmilitary and hybrid threats?
- How is the development of Sweden’s and Finland’s relation to NATO, and what consequences will there be for Norway?
The following seminars have been arranged as part of this project:
NATO’s response to the new European security environment: Firm deterrence or symbolic posturing?
Expectations for the NATO Warsaw Summit: Is NATO doing the right things – and doing them right?
Nordic Security under Pressure
Project Manager
Participants
New publications
More teeth for the NATO-Tiger How the Framework Nation Concept can reduce NATO’s growing formation – capability gap
How can the Framework Nation Concept reduce NATO’s growing formation – capability gap?
Military non-alignment, political solidarity, and a retreat to territorial defence: how to understand the Swedish NATO-debate
Expectations for the Warsaw Summit: Conventional and nuclear responses to Russian belligerence
This paper describes two aspects of the changed security environment. First, it discusses NATO’s response to the new threats on its eastern and southern borders. The Alliance took a number of modest steps at the Wales Summit in september 2014 to deal with those, but were they enough? Will it announce a more robust response at the Warsaw Summit this summer? Second, what is the role for NATO nuclear policy in strategic deterrence? Why is this topic back in discussion after years of benign neglect within the Alliance? Given its sensitivity, this subject is unlikely to be discussed at the next summit—but perhaps it should be. This paper addresses some of the key elements of deterrence strategy in an alliance that has not had to think about the subject for more than two decades.
Can NATO’s new Very High Readiness Joint Task force deter?
This Policy Brief is an extended version of an article that first published in the journal Atlantisch Perspeetief (39:6) under the headline ”NATO’s new spearhead force: Credible deterrence?”