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Peace, crisis and conflict

What are the key questions related to diplomacy and foreign policy?
Articles
News
Articles
News

Narges Mohammadi is awarded the Nobel Peace Prize 2023

"Narges Mohammadi is a worthy laureate, principled and incredibly courageous, representing something greater than herself," says NUPI researcher Kjetil Selvik.
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Humanitarian issues
Event
09:00 - 10:30
NUPI
Engelsk
US-China-rivalry_NTB_16-9_web.png
Event
09:00 - 10:30
NUPI
Engelsk
20. Oct 2023
Event
09:00 - 10:30
NUPI
Engelsk

Identity, Race, and the US-China Security Dilemma

Breakfast seminar: Identity differences and perceptions of race and racial stereotyping increasingly play a role in how foreign policy is being discussed in both the US and in China.

Event
12:00 - 15:30
NUPI
Engelsk
Afghanistan-seminar_NTB_16-9_web.png
Event
12:00 - 15:30
NUPI
Engelsk
11. Oct 2023
Event
12:00 - 15:30
NUPI
Engelsk

Human Rights Violations in the Taliban’s Afghanistan

HRRL presents the report "Revenge Killings and Other Serious Human Rights Violations in Afghanistan in the Aftermath of the Taliban’s Seizure of Power." The findings will be discussed by Afghanistan experts such as Richard Bennett, UN Special Rapporteur on Human Rights in Afghanistan, and HRW researcher Fereshta Abbasi.

Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Messaging Soleimani's killing: the communication vulnerabilities of authoritarian states

The capacity of authoritarian states to manipulate narratives and undermine the authority of western democracies is increasingly emphasized in International Relations research. Far less scrutiny has been paid to the ways in which the media environment creates communication vulnerabilities for these same repressive states. We address this research gap through a case-study of Persian-language commentary on the targeted assassination of Qasem Soleimani—a crescendo in the conflict between Iran and the United States. We examine how commentators on the two popular satellite channels interpreted Soleimani's killing and subsequent developments, and specifically, whether they rallied around the Iranian flag. The research method employed is qualitative media content analysis. The investigation reveals that the Islamic Republic did not benefit from a significant surge in patriotism among Iranian commentators; in fact, some openly applauded the attack. It was only when President Trump threatened to bomb Iranian cultural sites that the commentators rallied around the flag. The Islamic Republic faced a two-front narrative battle as communication attacks from within the national community intensified the information war with the US. The article concludes that authoritarian states are at a disadvantage when they require communication strategies beyond disinformation and distortion.

  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
  • Governance
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  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
  • Governance
Articles
Analysis
Articles
Analysis

Disputing the narrative of the general's assassination

Iran failed miserably in its attempt to steer the narrative after the assassination of its top general. Are autocracies not winning the information battle after all?
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Conflict
  • Governance
Event
13:30 - 15:00
NUPI
Engelsk
260923_Polen_valg_NY.jpg
Event
13:30 - 15:00
NUPI
Engelsk
26. Sept 2023
Event
13:30 - 15:00
NUPI
Engelsk

Polish elections – what’s left of the liberal order?

Poles head for the ballot boxes, amidst concerns about the health of democracy.

Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Opportunities Matter: The Evolution of Far-Right Protest in Georgia

What role do political opportunities play in far-right mobilisation? The case of Georgia indicates that modernisation in itself may be insufficient to trigger a far-right backlash. A systematised database of 154 far-right protest events in Georgia in the period 2003–2020 shows that the movement remained dormant for over two decades after post-Soviet independence and a decade after the 2003 Rose Revolution. After 2012, however, less severe repression of protest, divides within the political elite, and the sympathetic attitudes of mainstream political and societal actors enabled far-right mobilisation and violence. Thus, however deep-rooted anti-modernisation, a backlash may not erupt until mobilisation opportunities become available.

  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Nationalism
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  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Nationalism
Publications
Publications
Op-ed

Et tredje perspektiv på årsakene bak Russlands angrepskrig

  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
Morgenbladet.PNG
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
Publications
Publications
Chapter

Russiske spill i Ukraina-krigen: Innenriks- og utenrikspolitiske frontlinjer

  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
Krigen i Ukraina.PNG
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Parade, Plebiscite, Pandemic: Legitimation Efforts in Putin’s Fourth Term

Putin’s fourth term as president (2018–2024) has involved new challenges for Russia’s hybrid regime. COVID-19 hit the Kremlin at a sensitive time, when the old institutional forces had been demounted and new arrangements, including extensive constitutional changes, had yet to become cemented. There is an emerging gulf between state rhetoric, PR events, and patriotic performances, on the one hand, and economic chaos, social disorder and dysfunctional state capacity, on the other, which is likely to reduce system legitimacy and cause increased reliance on repressive methods. This article examines Kremlin legitimation efforts across Beetham’s three dimensions: rules, beliefs, and actions. We argue that the regime’s legitimation efforts in 2020–21 have failed to reverse emerging cleavages in public opinion since 2018. Increased reliance on repression and manipulation in this period, combined with the contrast between regime promises and observable realities on the ground, speak not of strength, but of the Kremlin’s increased weakness and embattlement.

  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Pandemics
  • Governance
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  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Pandemics
  • Governance
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