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What threatens NATO – and what members can do? The case of Norway and Poland

This research paper examines the critical external and internal challenges that faced NATO at its 70th anniversary, and how the policies of two members – Norway and Poland – can influence the internal cohesion of the Alliance and thus its ability to provide security to all its members. The survival of NATO as a viable security actor will depend on its capacity to maintain internal cohesion, a crucial factor influencing its ability to address external risks, challenges and threats in the increasingly turbulent international environment. This study places the debate in the broader context of discussion on alliance survivability in general, maps the external and internal challenges facing the Alliance after seven decades of its existence, and examines possible risks that the policies of Norway and Poland may pose to NATO’s internal cohesion and thus its ability to react to external challenges.

  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Russia and Eurasia
Event
10:00 - 11:30
Microsoft teams
Engelsk
Event
10:00 - 11:30
Microsoft teams
Engelsk
18. Mar 2021
Event
10:00 - 11:30
Microsoft teams
Engelsk

EU's strategic compass

The EU is currently developing a ‘Strategic Compass’ for its security and defense policy. Join this webinar to learn more about the background, the progress, and the challenges the process is facing.

Articles
News
Articles
News

The hidden consequences of Covid-19

It is no secret that the consequences of the pandemic we are now in the midst of, are enormous. But did you know that covid-19 may contribute to a reversal of the global work on women's rights? Or that it may lead to a dramatic decrease in peace operations?

  • International economics
  • Globalisation
  • Development policy
  • Foreign policy
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Fragile states
  • Insurgencies
  • Pandemics
  • Governance
  • United Nations
  • AU
Forskerne på NUPI viser at covid-19 har mange konsekvenser som mange kanskje ikke er klar over. Les artikkelen og klikk deg inn på lenkene for å lære mer.
Publications
Publications
Report

Stat, nasjon og verneplikt En genealogisk analyse av stats- og nasjonsbyggingen i Norge med fokus på verneplikten

The report is a genealogy of the popular legitimacy of the state in Norway, using the military conscription system as a case.

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Nationalism
  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Nationalism
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

The Georgian far right failed its electoral debut. But its season may not be over

Taken together, the emerging groups of the Georgian far right obtained less than 5% in the October 2020 elections to the national Parliament. But limited electoral success does not mean that the far-right has limited political power, in Georgia and elsewhere in the world.

  • Terrorism and extremism
  • Nationalism
  • Terrorism and extremism
  • Nationalism
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Why Choose to Cycle in a Low-Income Country?

Research on the adoption of the bicycle as a means of transport has been booming in high-income countries. However, little is known about bicycle adoption in lower-income countries where air pollution is high and cycling infrastructure is poor. Understanding the drivers of cycling adoption in developing economies can increase the efficiency of transport policies while reducing local air pollution, improving health, and cutting greenhouse gas emissions. The objective of this study is to identify the factors affecting cycling uptake in a low-income country using the city of Bishkek in Kyrgyzstan as a case study. The analysis is based on the Theory of Planned Behavior, a questionnaire-based survey of 900 respondents, factor analysis, and a logit model. In contrast to studies carried out in developed countries, this study finds that students are less likely to adopt cycling than other population groups. Other findings suggest that support for public transport, a desire for regular exercise and perceptions of the environmental benefits of cycling increase the probability of the use of cycling as a mode of transport in a low-income country. The paper also identifies positive and negative perceptions of cycling among cyclists and non-cyclists

  • Energy
  • Energy
Event
11:00 - 12:30
Microsoft teams
Engelsk
Event
11:00 - 12:30
Microsoft teams
Engelsk
3. Mar 2021
Event
11:00 - 12:30
Microsoft teams
Engelsk

What’s in the new EU-UK relationship?

The EU–UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement was reached on 24 December 2020, after more that four years of negotiation. Join this webinar to learn more on what the deal holds for the future, both in terms of EU-UK relations and their wider context.

Publications
Publications
Report

Measuring Russia’s attention to Europe and the world

Based on a mapping of mentions of country names in more than 30,000 Russian official speeches, press conferences, meeting transcripts, and official statements, this brief provides insights into changes to Russia’s engagement with the world during the 21st century. Without disentangling the subtleties of relations – such as their security, economic, or cultural dimensions and their benign or adversarial features – this approach allows the brief to sketch answers to questions that would otherwise be left to guesswork.

  • Foreign policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Foreign policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
Publications
Publications
Report

Trade and trust: the role of trade in de facto state conflict transformation

De facto states – unrecognized secessionist entities that eke out a living on the margins of the international system – are often heavily dependent on external patron states for economic aid and investment. When the parent state – the state that the de facto state seeks to break away from – responds to the secessionist attempt by imposing sanctions or economic blockades, this further exacerbates such dependency. Moreover, due to their lack of international recognition, de facto states often have limited opportunities to engage with the outside world beyond the patron and the parent state. However, closer examination of one such de facto state, Abkhazia, reveals that de facto states can enjoy some bounded independent economic agency. Abkhazia’s maneuvering between Russia as “patron,” Georgia as “parent state,” and the wider international community (here exemplified by the EU) in the sphere of trade and economic interaction has important implications for de-facto state conflict transformation.

  • Trade
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
  • Trade
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
Publications
Publications
Chapter

Norway, NATO and the Northern Flank

This chapter discusses Norwegian perspectives on North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and security and defense policy. It begins with a short background discussion about the historical relations between Norway and Russia, and the Norwegian security and defense posture that has resulted in since the World War II. It describes Norway’s relations to NATO, popular support for the Alliance today, and Norway progress concerning the 2 percent target at the Wales summit in 2014. Current Norwegian security and defense policy reflects renewed concerns about developments in Russia, and the desire to enhance NATO and United States engagement in the north, while also strengthening European security cooperation. Norway, as a small state with limited national forces, must rely on NATO for its security and deterrence. Norwegian popular support for NATO is higher than in a long time, and even voters on the far left appear predominantly supportive.

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Intelligence
  • Foreign policy
  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Intelligence
  • Foreign policy
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