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Karsten Friis
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Sammendrag
Karsten Friis er forsker 1 i Forskningsgruppen for sikkerhet og forsvar.
Hans forskningsområder er sikkerhets- og forsvarspolitikk i Europa, med vekt på NATO, Norden, Arktis, transatlantiske relasjoner, etterretning, cybersikkerhet og Vest-Balkan. Han har publisert og ledet flere større prosjekt på disse temaene. Friis er også en hyppig brukt formilder og kommentator i det offentlige ordskiftet - ikke minst knyttet til Russlands krig mot Ukraina.
Friis er statsviter med PhD fra Universitetet of Groningen, Cand. Polit fra Universitetet i Oslo og MSc fra London School of Economics. Friis har vært tilknyttet NUPI siden 2007. Før det var han politisk rådgiver for OSSE-sendelaget i Serbia (2004 til 2007), OSSE i Montenegro (2001) og i Kosovo (1999). Friis var også en del av EUs forhandlingsteam for folkeavstemning om uavhengighet i Montenegro i 2006. I tillegg har Friis jobbet flere år i Forsvaret og tjenestegjort for NATO/KFOR i Kosovo.
Ekspertise
Utdanning
2018 PhD, University of Groningen
1998 Cand Polit, statsvitenskap, Universitetet i Oslo
1995 Master, Internasjonale relasjoner, London School of Economics
Arbeidserfaring
2007- Seniorforsker/seniorrådgiver/rådgiver, NUPI
2004-2007 Politisk rådgiver, OSSE Serbia
2001-2004 Rådgiver, Forsvaret
2000-2001 Politisk rådgiver, OSSE Montenegro
1999-2000 Analytiker/E-off, NATO/KFOR HQ, Kosovo
1999 OSSE Kosovo Verification Mission
Aktivitet
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Is America turning its back on Europe?
Recent events, such as the ill-prepared evacuation from Afghanistan and the secret negotiation over Australian submarines at the expense of France...
NATO's future at a time of war
A discussion with the Head of NATO's Policy Planning Unit, Dr Benedetta Berti, about the new security situation in Europe and NATOs new Strategic...
The Ukraine war and the NATO responses in the Baltic and the High North regions
On March 24, all Heads of State and Government in NATO met in Brussels for an Extraordinary NATO Summit to discuss NATO's response to the ongoing...
The votes that can shape European security
2024 will be an important election year on both sides of the Atlantic.President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are yet again battling...
US and UK Elections: Implications for NATO and Northern European Security
Elections on both sides of the Atlantic have highlighted diverging views and increasing tensions over the importance of the security alliance, which celebrates its 75th anniversary this year. The most impactful election will undoubtedly take place in the United States, where the two candidates present Europe with remarkably different challenges. The re-election of President Joseph Biden to a second consecutive term in office will largely represent continuity albeit few clear incentives to undertake the transformational changes necessary for Europe to adapt to an increasingly volatile security landscape. On the other hand, if former President Donald Trump secures a second term in the Oval Office, Europeans could see their transatlantic security alliance thrown into turmoil and could be forced to consider difficult and uncomfortable steps to strengthen their own security. Voters will also head to the polls across Europe, including in the highly anticipated European Parliament elections, which will shape the composition of the next iteration of EU institutions. However, most notable for Northern European security will be elections in the United Kingdom on July 4th, which could lead to a change in the governing party for the first time in 14 years. A recent commitment by Downing Street to increase defence spending to 2.5 % by 2030 – reaching £87 billion in that year – has upped the ante towards its Labour opposition, which has suggested a similar increase but without providing a specific timeframe. As the NATO Alliance prepares for a 75th anniversary celebration in Washington, DC, questions loom regarding its capacity to deter a potentially emboldened Russia, particularly considering the Kremlin’s recent advances in the war in Ukraine, now entering its third year. This analysis assesses the implications of the upcoming elections on both sides of the Atlantic. It combines perspectives from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Norway, and assesses implications for NATO, the ongoing war in Ukraine, and future security in Northern Europe.
Stemmene som kan forme sikkerheten i Europa
Fredsforhandlinger i Ukraina nå er både urealistisk og farlig
Politics and Security in the Arctic (POPSARC)
POPSARC tar utgangspunkt i to overordnede spørsmål. For det første, hva kjennetegner vestlige alliertes tilnærminger til sikkerhet i Arktis de senere årene? For det andre, hva kjennetegner samspillet ...
The defence of northern Europe: new opportunities, significant challenges
With Finland and Sweden joining NATO, the Nordics will be united for the first time in a military alliance encompassing not only northern Europe but also the broader transatlantic region. It will eventually fortify northern European security, but several obstacles must be overcome first. NATO has done a formidable job since 2014 in updating its defence plans, cumulating in the Deterrence and Defence of the Euro-Atlantic Area (DDA) family of plans approved in Vilnius 2023. Now Finland and Sweden need to be incorporated into these plans. A more challenging task is to implement NATO's New Force Model which is tremendously ambitious. Finland and Sweden's contributions will be important, but new investments must be made. NATO's Command Structure is yet to be fully reformed and fitted to the DDA. Joint Force Command Norfolk must urgently be staffed, without undue politicization in NATO. Nordic defence buildup can draw on regional cooperation in particular in five areas: in strengthening the area's command design through functional double-hatted headquarters; developing close air power cooperation through e.g. a Combined Joint Air Operations Centre; strengthening total defence cooperation across borders and expanding logistical infrastructure; establishing joint intelligence task forces; and joint training and exercises. The contributions of the United States and United Kingdom are indispensable when it comes to upholding the alliance's guarantee in northern Europe. The recent signing of Defense Cooperation Agreements between the US and the Nordics reinforces this—together with an increased presence of air and naval assets in the region. The same applies to the UK and the Joint Expeditionary Force which now has shifted its focus towards northern Europe. This engagement is a crucial addition to Nordic and NATO plans and activities in a period when growth in Nordic defence structures is occurring at a relatively slow pace. Only after the weaknesses and hurdles are addressed will the deterrence and defence of the region attain a fully credible level.
Hvordan kan Ukraina definere seier?